GT Price Curve Now Vs Two Years Ago


Specracer

GT Owner
Mark IV Lifetime
Nov 28, 2005
7,162
MA
If your going to talk about values, this site is quite good:

 
This is a very interesting site. But look at the last year or so and you will see that the moving average is entirely below all the sales! I don't see how that could be. It would be better to do a regression to fit the line to the sale prices. If that was done, you can see that there is a strong rise in the average sale price recently. A quick look at the list of sold GTs also suggests that the effects of mileage on value could be very important, but there are so few "high mileage" (more than 20,000 miles) cars sold that data is insufficient to draw reliable conclusions about what that effect is ($). One conclusion I draw that I think is valid seems to be that folks who really drive and use their GTs simply do NOT sell them!
 

JOETWINT

FORD GT OWNER
Mark IV Lifetime
Jan 22, 2008
439
Brooklyn N.Y.
There are many cars that were sold (Heritages at Mecum and Barrett and BAT to name a few) that are not listed on that^ site.
 
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FlagstaffGT

GT Owner
Mark II Lifetime
Ed, give up now or you’ll get sucked into the black hole! As you know, GT prices do not result from a physical process that can be accurately modeled or described by equations. They are a result of “dismal science.”
I’m thinking quantum entanglement is substantial here.
 
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HighHP

GT Owner
Jun 3, 2019
472
Spokane, WA
Ed, give up now or you’ll get sucked into the black hole! As you know, GT prices do not result from a physical process that can be accurately modeled or described by equations. They are a result of “dismal science.”
I couldn't resist.
 

SewellGT

New member
Apr 7, 2020
2
This is interesting data, exactly what I’ve been hunting for. I’m currently looking for a “high mileage” example that I intend to drive regularly. I’ve found a nice 4 option red car with 25k miles but I’m having trouble valuing it, there have just been so few documented sales with that type of mileage. Assuming it’s fully up to date on maintenance, no stories and all records what do you guys think is a fair number? Thanks
 

fjpikul

GT Owner
Mark IV Lifetime
Le Mans 2010 Supporter
Jan 4, 2006
11,711
Belleville, IL
$600K. All the bugs have been worked out
 
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extrap

GT Owner
Mark II Lifetime
Jul 16, 2020
1,923
Gainesville FL
This is interesting data, exactly what I’ve been hunting for. I’m currently looking for a “high mileage” example that I intend to drive regularly. I’ve found a nice 4 option red car with 25k miles but I’m having trouble valuing it, there have just been so few documented sales with that type of mileage. Assuming it’s fully up to date on maintenance, no stories and all records what do you guys think is a fair number? Thanks
These are all auctions, and I don't have any info on private sales, but ...

Here are all the ones I know of that had >10k miles, sorted by most recent:
Year
Color
Mileage
Price incl Fee
Date
Sold?
Notes
2005​
Red
29,000​
$335,000​
11/6/21​
Y​
2005​
Red
11,000​
$318,000​
5/21/21​
Y​
2005​
Red
11,000​
$285,000​
12/31/20​
Y​
2006​
Black no stripes
32,000​
$215,000​
11/5/20​
Y​
2005​
Red
22,325​
$241,000​
12/6/19​
Y​

And here are the next 5 highest mileage I know of, sort by most recent:
2006​
Red
9,000​
$255,000​
4/6/20​
Y​
2005​
Black no stripes
7,970​
$287,500​
3/19/21​
Y​
2006​
Tungsten
9,949​
$365,000​
6/9/21​
Y​
2005​
Red
9,489​
$365,000​
12/2/21​
Y​
2005​
White
7,693​
$418,000​
2/2/22​
Y​

As always, depends on how bad you want it, and how bad they wanna sell it. If it checks out and doesn't need anything could be $275k-$300K+ ... but if it's got issues maybe $250k or less ... but they may not come down to something reasonable since these days sellers seem able to find somebody to pay, um, more than a reasonable person thinks it's worth, even for the less-than-perfect, 'higher' mileage examples. Good luck!

Here are the most recent 5 I know of, too:
Year
Color
Mileage
Price incl Fee
Date
Sold?
Notes
2005​
Red no stripe
559​
$470,000​
4/15/22​
Y​
2005​
Red SS only
5,728​
$380,000​
4/17/22​
Y​
2005​
Red
1,914​
$440,000​
4/26/22​
Y​
2005​
White
70​
$455,000​
4/30/22​
Y​
2006​
Yellow
5,770​
$417,000​
5/4/22​
Y​
 
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SewellGT

New member
Apr 7, 2020
2
Thanks for the detailed response, that’s very helpful!
 
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PA32Pilot

GT Owner
Mar 21, 2022
24
Glendora, CA
2005 White/Blue all 4 options 6k miles paid $419k in April 2022. Private sale so here is some data for you
 

jr66

GT Owner
Mark IV Lifetime
Sep 22, 2017
273
scottsdale
Enjoy your car. Do not focus on price. Who cares if you are not selling!!!!
 
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Simon

GT Owner
Mark II Lifetime
Feb 19, 2013
1,265
Houston
yawn
 
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Pettyfan43

GT Owner
Mar 29, 2022
76
Patterson Ca.
Doing my best to devalue mine added another 300 wonderful miles today hopefully end up with another 500 miles this weekend
 

PeteK

GT Owner
Mark II Lifetime
Apr 18, 2014
2,488
Kalama, Free part of WA State
Sewellgt: most of that data is obsolete. Given how prices have been going, anything more than about 4 months old is obsolete.
 
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extrap

GT Owner
Mark II Lifetime
Jul 16, 2020
1,923
Gainesville FL
Sewellgt: most of that data is obsolete. Given how prices have been going, anything more than about 4 months old is obsolete.
Hey Pete ... Are prices higher or lower now?
 

Art138

GT Owner
Mark II Lifetime
Jan 4, 2011
632
Weston,FL
2005 White/Blue all 4 options 6k miles paid $419k in April 2022. Private sale so here is some data for you
The yellow with black stripe 5,800 miles on BAT (the other day) sold for 412k without fees so your price point seems consistent into May.
 

Tomcat

GT Owner
Hey Pete ... Are prices higher or lower now?
My opinion (based on selling my house and my BMW 850i) is that tangible goods prices (in Spring of 2022) are up significantly from 2-3 years ago.
 

Gene Cassone

GT Owner
Mark II Lifetime
Dec 3, 2005
1,019
way upstate NY
It will be interesting to see what happens in exotics car market with stock market going south and interest rates going up! People will be afraid to spend money or will they look at it as diversification!!
 

PA32Pilot

GT Owner
Mar 21, 2022
24
Glendora, CA
The yellow with black stripe 5,800 miles on BAT (the other day) sold for 412k without fees so your price point seems consistent into May.
Meh, I bought the car to drive, it's about smiles per miles and as long as I have smiles the price I could possibly maybe sell it for doesn't even matter.
 
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PeteK

GT Owner
Mark II Lifetime
Apr 18, 2014
2,488
Kalama, Free part of WA State
Hey Pete ... Are prices higher or lower now?
Compared to two years ago, or even six months ago, obviously they are up. That's why the data from last year and earlier are obsolete for figuring out what to pay for a car today. In the past 4 months, it's not so apparent. We've seen new high water marks set this year, but judging from the online auctions, it appears the GT prices have dipped in the past month. No guarantees whether that represents a trend. There's still a lot of scatter in the pattern.

But I ain't selling mine, so I don't care much. It's just morbid curiosity.
 
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